With hindsight (bias), everyone is a brilliant political pundit
The New York Times ran a fun and politically timely article this week on hindsight bias — our personal belief after an event (like, say, a presidential election) that we had known and predicted with remarkably detailed precision (“295 electoral college votes!”) before the event how it would turn out.
Even if we hadn’t actually believed — much less said — anything of the kind.
As Times reporter Benedict Carey points out, there’s going to be a lot of evidence of hindsight bias — on cable TV and off — after Tuesday’s election results are tallied. “Many people will feel in their gut that they knew the result all along,” he writes. “Not only felt it coming, but swear they predicted it beforehand — remember? — and probably more than once.”